Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility. METHODS: We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua. RESULTS: We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values. CONCLUSION: VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.

Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. CONCLUSIONS: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.

Validation of Baveno VII criteria and other non-invasive diagnostic algorithms for clinically significant portal hypertension in hepatitis delta.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NIT) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) lack validation in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). METHODS: HDV-cACLD patients (LSM ≥10 kPa or histological METAVIR F3/F4 fibrosis) who underwent paired HVPG and NIT assessment at Medical University of Vienna or Hannover Medical School between 2013 and 2023 were retrospectively included. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) were assessed. Individual CSPH risk was calculated according to previously published models (ANTICIPATE, 3P/5P). The diagnostic performance of Baveno-VII criteria and refined algorithms (Baveno-VII-VITRO, Baveno-VII-SSM) was evaluated. The prognostic utility of NIT was investigated in the main and an independent, multicenter validation cohort. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (HVPG ≥10 mmHg/CSPH prevalence: 62.7%, varices: 42.2%) were included. LSM (25.8 [17.2-31.0] vs. 14.0 [10.5-19.8] kPa; p<0.001), VITRO (n=31, 3.5 [2.7-4.5] vs. 1.3 [0.6-2.0] %/[G/L]; p<0.001), and SSM (n=20, 53.8 [41.7-75.5] vs. 24.0 [17.0-33.9] kPa; p<0.001) were significantly higher in CSPH patients. Composite CSPH risk models yielded excellent AUROC (ANTICIPATE: 0.885, 3P: 0.903, 5P: 0.912). Baveno-VII criteria ruled out CSPH with 100% sensitivity and ruled in CSPH with 84.2% specificity. The Baveno-VII 'grey zone' (41.1%) was significantly reduced by Baveno-VII-VITRO or Baveno-VII-SSM, while maintaining diagnostic accuracy. Hepatic decompensation within two years occurred only in patients who had CSPH or met Baveno-VII rule-in criteria. The prognostic value of NIT was confirmed in the validation cohort comprising 92 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Standalone and composite NIT/ diagnostic algorithms are useful for CSPH diagnosis in HDV-cACLD patients. Thus, NIT may be applied to identify and prioritize patients with CSPH for novel antiviral treatments against CHD. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests (NIT) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) have been developed to identify compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients at risk for decompensation, but conflicting data has been published regarding the accuracy of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for the staging of fibrosis in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). In our study including 51 HDV-cACLD patients, NIT, i.e., most importantly, the ANTICIPATE model based on LSM and platelet count, but also lab-based approaches, i.e., 3P/5P model and the von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) yielded high AUROC for CSPH. Moreover, only patients with CSPH or high non-invasively assessed CSPH-risk were at risk for decompensation within two years, and the prognostic value of NIT was confirmed in a validation cohort. Thus, NIT should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify HDV-cACLD patients at short-term risk and may guide prioritization for novel antiviral treatment options.

A meta-analysis and real-world cohort study on the sex-related differences in efficacy and safety of immunotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background & Aims: Sex-related differences in the immune pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly related to oestrogen-dependent secretion of pro-tumourigenic cytokines, are well-known. Whether sex influences the efficacy and safety of immunotherapy is not known. Methods: We performed a restricted maximum likelihood random effects meta-analysis of five phase III trials that evaluated immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in advanced HCC and reported overall survival (OS) hazard ratios (HRs) stratified by sex to evaluate sex-related differences in OS. In a real-world cohort of 840 patients with HCC from 22 centres included between 2018 and 2023, we directly compared the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab + bevacizumab (A+B) between sexes. Radiological response was reported according to RECIST v1.1. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed for OS and progression-free survival (PFS). Results: In the meta-analysis, immunotherapy was associated with a significant OS benefit only in male (pooled HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.73-0.86) but not in female (pooled HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.70-1.03) patients with HCC. When directly comparing model estimates, no differences in the treatment effect between sexes were observed. Among 840 patients, 677 (81%) were male (mean age 66 ± 11 years), and 163 (19%) were female (mean age 67 ± 12 years). Type and severity of adverse events were similar between the two groups. OS and PFS were comparable between males and females upon uni- and multivariable analyses (aHR for OS and PFS: 0.79, 95% CI 0.59-1.04; 1.02, 95% CI 0.80-1.30, respectively). Objective response rates (24%/22%) and disease control rates (59%/59%) were also similar between sexes. Conclusion: Female phase III trial participants experienced smaller OS benefit following ICI therapy for advanced HCC, while outcomes following A+B treatment were comparable between sexes in a large real-world database. Based on the ambiguous sex-related differences in survival observed here, further investigation of sex-specific clinical and biologic determinants of responsiveness and survival following ICIs are warranted. Impact and implications: While immune checkpoint inhibitors have emerged as standard of care for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma, there are conflicting reports on whether the efficacy of cancer immunotherapy differs between females and males. Our study suggests ambiguous sex-related differences in outcomes from immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma. Further investigation of sex-specific clustering in clinicopathologic and immunologic determinants of responsiveness to immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy should be prioritised. Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD42023429625.

Prognostic performance of non-invasive tests for portal hypertension is comparable to that of hepatic venous pressure gradient.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests to assess the probability of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) - including the ANTICIPATE±NASH models based on liver stiffness measurement and platelet count±BMI, and the von Willebrand factor antigen to platelet count ratio (VITRO) - have fundamentally changed the management of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, their prognostic utility has not been compared head-to-head to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). METHODS: Patients with cACLD (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa) who underwent advanced characterization via same-day HVPG/non-invasive test assessment from 2007-2022 were retrospectively included. Long-term follow-up data on hepatic decompensation was recorded. RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty patients with cACLD of varying etiologies, with a CSPH prevalence of 67.6%, were included. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation at 1 and 2 years was 4.7% and 8.0%, respectively. HVPG, VITRO, and ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability showed similar time-dependent prognostic value (AUROCs 0.683-0.811 at 1 year and 0.699-0.801 at 2 years). In competing risk analyses adjusted for MELD score and albumin, HVPG (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.099 [95% CI 1.054-1.150] per mmHg; p <0.001), or VITRO (aSHR 1.134 [95% CI 1.062-1.211] per unit; p <0.001), or ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability (aSHR 1.232 [95% CI 1.094-1.387] per 10%; p <0.001) all predicted first decompensation during follow-up. Previously proposed cut-offs (HVPG ≥10 mmHg vs. <10 mmHg, VITRO ≥2.5 vs. <2.5, and ANTICIPATE-CSPH probability ≥60% vs. <60%) all accurately discriminated between patients at negligible risk and those at substantial risk of hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic performance of ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability and VITRO is comparable to that of HVPG, supporting their utility for identifying patients who may benefit from medical therapies to prevent first hepatic decompensation. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests have revolutionized the diagnosis and management of clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, limited data exists regarding the prognostic utility of non-invasive tests in direct comparison to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient. In our study including 420 patients with cACLD, the ANTICIPATE±NASH model and VITRO yielded similar AUROCs to hepatic venous pressure gradient for hepatic decompensation within 1 to 2 years. Thus, non-invasive tests should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients at short-term risk, thereby identifying patients who may benefit from treatment aimed at preventing hepatic decompensation.

Management of varices but not anticoagulation is associated with improved outcome in patients with HCC and macrovascular tumour invasion.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The value of bleeding prophylaxis and anticoagulation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and macrovascular tumour invasion (MVI) is unclear. We evaluated the impact of anticoagulation on thrombosis progression, bleeding events, and overall mortality, and assessed the efficacy of adequate management of varices as recommended for patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: HCC patients with MVI who had Child-Turcotte-Pugh A-B7 were included between Q4/2002 and Q2/2022. Localization of the tumour thrombus and changes at 3-6 months were evaluated by two radiologists. Univariable and multivariable logistic/Cox regression analyses included time-dependent variables (i.e., anticoagulation, systemic therapy, non-selective beta blocker treatment). RESULTS: Of 124 patients included (male: n = 110, 89%), MVI involved the main portal vein in 47 patients (38%), and 49 individuals (40%) had additional non-tumorous thrombus apposition. Fifty of 80 patients (63%) with available endoscopy had varices. Twenty-four individuals (19%) received therapeutic anticoagulation and 94 patients (76%) were treated with effective systemic therapies. The use of therapeutic anticoagulation did not significantly affect the course of the malignant thrombosis at 3-6 months. Systemic therapy (aHR: 0.26 [95%CI: 0.16-0.40]) but not anticoagulation was independently associated with reduced all-cause mortality. In patients with known variceal status, adequate management of varices was independently associated with reduced risk of variceal bleeding (aHR: 0.12 [95%CI: 0.02-0.71]). In the whole cohort, non-selective beta blockers were independently associated with reduced risk of variceal bleeding or death from any cause (aHR: 0.69 [95%CI: 0.50-0.96]). CONCLUSION: Adequate bleeding prophylaxis and systemic anti-tumour therapy but not anticoagulation were associated with improved outcomes in patients with HCC and MVI.

Predicting survival in patients with 'non-high-risk' acute variceal bleeding receiving ß-blockers+ligation to prevent re-bleeding.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Pre-emptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is the treatment of choice for high-risk acute variceal bleeding (AVB; i.e., Child-Turcotte-Pugh [CTP] B8-9+active bleeding/C10-13). Nevertheless, some 'non-high-risk' patients have poor outcomes despite the combination of non-selective beta-blockers and endoscopic variceal ligation for secondary prophylaxis. We investigated prognostic factors for re-bleeding and mortality in 'non-high-risk' AVB to identify subgroups who may benefit from more potent treatments (i.e., TIPS) to prevent further decompensation and mortality. METHODS: A total of 2,225 adults with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding were prospectively recruited at 34 centres between 2011-2015; for the purpose of this study, case definitions and information on prognostic indicators at index AVB and on day 5 were further refined in low-risk patients, of whom 581 (without failure to control bleeding or contraindications to TIPS) who were managed by non-selective beta-blockers/endoscopic variceal ligation, were finally included. Patients were followed for 1 year. RESULTS: Overall, 90 patients (15%) re-bled and 70 (12%) patients died during follow-up. Using clinical routine data, no meaningful predictors of re-bleeding were identified. However, re-bleeding (included as a time-dependent co-variable) increased mortality, even after accounting for differences in patient characteristics (adjusted cause-specific hazard ratio: 2.57; 95% CI 1.43-4.62; p = 0.002). A nomogram including CTP, creatinine, and sodium measured at baseline accurately (concordance: 0.752) stratified the risk of death. CONCLUSION: The majority of 'non-high-risk' patients with AVB have an excellent prognosis, if treated according to current recommendations. However, about one-fifth of patients, i.e. those with CTP ≥8 and/or high creatinine levels or hyponatremia, have a considerable risk of death within 1 year of the index bleed. Future clinical trials should investigate whether elective TIPS placement reduces mortality in these patients. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Pre-emptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement improves outcomes in high-risk acute variceal bleeding; nevertheless, some 'non-high-risk' patients have poor outcomes despite the combination of non-selective beta-blockers and endoscopic variceal ligation. This is the first large-scale study investigating prognostic factors for re-bleeding and mortality in 'non-high-risk' acute variceal bleeding. While no clinically meaningful predictors were identified for re-bleeding, we developed a nomogram integrating baseline Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, creatinine, and sodium to stratify mortality risk. Our study paves the way for future clinical trials evaluating whether elective transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement improves outcomes in presumably 'non-high-risk' patients who are identified as being at increased risk of death.

Platelet adhesion assessed by PFA-100 is not linked to progression of ACLD.

Background & Aims: Increased aggregation of individual platelets upon activation, as assessed by whole blood aggregometry standardised to platelet count (PLT), has recently been linked to progression of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Moreover, changes in primary haemostasis have been implicated in bleeding and thrombosis in patients with ACLD.We aimed (i) to identify the determinants of the primary haemostatic capacity - as assessed by Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100) ('in vitro bleeding time') - in patients with ACLD and (ii) to investigate its potential association with clinical outcomes. Methods: PFA-100 was performed in 688 patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement. Hepatic decompensation and liver-related death as well as bleeding and thrombosis were the outcomes of interest. Results: Sixty-three percent of patients had a PFA-100 collagen/epinephrine closure time (CT) of >150 s (i.e. prolonged). PLT and haematocrit were the main determinants of CT, whereas it was not impacted by von Willebrand factor antigen. Mirroring the increasing prevalence/severity of thrombocytopaenia and anaemia, we observed a progressive prolongation of CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) with more advanced disease, as indicated by clinical stage, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) score, and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although increased CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) was associated with an increased risk of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death, these associations were less consistent after adjusting/correcting for PLT/haematocrit and established prognostic indicators. Finally, CT was not associated with the incidence of major bleedings or thromboses. Conclusions: These findings do not support the hypothesis that increased platelet adhesion - assessed in vitro under shear stress by PFA-100 - promotes ACLD progression. Impact and implications: The potential of platelets to aggregate in the bloodstream may be increased in patients with advanced chronic liver disease. Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100), a blood test reflecting in vitro bleeding time, might be suggestive of an impaired primary clot forming capacity. In our study, we could show that PFA-100 results were not linked to bleeding/thrombotic events. Our findings do not support the hypothesis that an increased adhesion of platelets (assessed by PFA-100) might lead to a disease progression in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

Lower free triiodothyronine (fT3) levels in cirrhosis are linked to systemic inflammation, higher risk of acute-on-chronic liver failure, and mortality.

Background & Aims: Advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) may affect thyroid hormone homeostasis. We aimed to analyze the pituitary-thyroid axis in ACLD and the prognostic value of free triiodothyronine (fT3). Methods: Patients with ACLD (liver stiffness measurement [LSM] ≥10 kPa) undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between June 2009 and September 2022 and available fT3 levels were included. Clinical stages of ACLD were defined as follows: probable ACLD (pACLD; LSM ≥10 kPa and HVPG ≤5 mmHg), S0 (mild portal hypertension [PH]; HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1 (clinically significant PH), S2 (clinically significant PH with varices), S3 (past variceal bleeding), S4 (past/current non-bleeding hepatic decompensation), and S5 (further decompensation). Results: Among 297 patients with ACLD, 129 were compensated (pACLD, n = 10; S0, n = 33; S1, n = 42; S2, n = 44), whereas 168 were decompensated (S3, n = 12; S4, n = 97; S5, n = 59). Median levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) numerically increased with progressive ACLD stage (from 1.2 µIU/ml [pACLD] to 1.5 µIU/ml [S5]; p = 0.152), whereas fT3 decreased (from 3.2 pg/ml [pACLD] to 2.5 pg/ml [S5]; p <0.001). Free thyroxin levels remained unchanged (p = 0.338). TSH (aB 0.45; p = 0.046) and fT3 (aB -0.17; p = 0.048) were independently associated with systemic C-reactive protein levels. Lower fT3 was linked to higher risk of (further) decompensation (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [asHR] 0.60; 95% CI 0.37-0.97; p = 0.037), acute-on-chronic liver failure (asHR 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.49; p <0.001) and liver-related death (asHR 0.14; 95% CI 0.04-0.51; p = 0.003). Conclusions: Increasing TSH and declining fT3 levels are observed with progressive ACLD stages. The association of TSH and fT3 with systemic inflammation suggests a liver disease-associated non-thyroidal illness syndrome. Lower fT3 levels in patients with ACLD indicate increased risk for decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death. Impact and Implications: In a large well-characterized cohort of patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD), we found a decline of free triiodothyronine (fT3) throughout the clinical stages of ACLD, paralleled by a numerical increase of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH). This suggests a progressive development of a non-thyroidal illness syndrome in association with ACLD severity. Importantly, C-reactive protein independently correlated with TSH and fT3, linking thyroid dysbalance in ACLD to systemic inflammation. Lower fT3 indicated an increased risk for subsequent development of hepatic decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death. Clinical trial number: Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615).

Baseline neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio appear predictive of immune treatment related toxicity in hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: A well-recognized class effect of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) is immune-related adverse events (IrAEs) ranging from low grade toxicities to life-threatening end organ damage requiring permanent discontinuation of ICI. Deaths are reported in < 5% of patients treated with ICI. There are, however, no reliable markers to predict the onset and severity of IrAEs. We tested the association between neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) at baseline with development of clinically significant IrAEs (grade ≥ 2) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with ICI. AIM: To test the association between NLR and PLR at baseline with development of clinically significant IrAEs (grade ≥ 2) in HCC patients treated with ICI. METHODS: Data was extracted from an international database from a consortium of 11 tertiary-care referral centers. NLR = absolute neutrophil count/absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) and PLR = platelet count/ALC. Cutoff of 5 was used for NLR and 300 for PLR based on literature. We also tested the association between antibiotic and steroid exposure to IrAEs. RESULTS: Data was collected from 361 patients treated between 2016-2020 across the United States (67%), Asia (14%) and Europe (19%). Most patients received Nivolumab (n = 255, 71%). One hundred sixty-seven (46%) patients developed at least one IrAE, highest grade 1 in 80 (48%), grade ≥ 2 in 87 (52%) patients. In a univariable regression model PLR > 300 was significantly associated with a lower incidence of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 0.40; P = 0.044). Similarly, a trend was observed between NLR > 5 and lower incidence of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 0.58; P = 0.097). Multivariate analyses confirmed PLR > 300 as an independent predictive marker of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 0.26; P = 0.011), in addition to treatment with programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-1)/cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein-4 (OR = 2.57; P = 0.037) and PD-1/tyrosine kinase inhibitor (OR = 3.39; P = 0.01) combinations. Antibiotic use was not associated with IrAE incidence (OR = 1.02; P = 0.954). Patients treated with steroids had a > 2-fold higher incidence of grade ≥ 2 IrAEs (OR = 2.74; P < 0.001), although 74% were prescribed steroids for the treatment of IrAEs. CONCLUSION: Given that high baseline NLR and PLR are associated with a decreased incidence of IrAEs, lower baseline NLR and PLR may be predictive biomarkers for the appearance of IrAEs in HCC treated with ICI. This finding is in keeping with several studies in solid tumors that have shown that baseline NLR and PLR appear predictive of IrAEs.

Decreased platelet activation predicts hepatic decompensation and mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with cirrhosis show alterations in primary hemostasis, yet prognostic implications of changes in platelet activation remain controversial, and assay validity is often limited by thrombocytopenia. We aimed to study the prognostic role of platelet activation in cirrhosis, focusing on bleeding/thromboembolic events, decompensation, and mortality. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We prospectively included 107 patients with cirrhosis undergoing a same-day hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and platelet activation measurement. Platelet activation was assessed using flow cytometry after protease-activated receptor (PAR)-1, PAR-4, or epinephrine stimulation. Over a follow-up of 25.3 (IQR: 15.7-31.2) months, first/further decompensation occurred in 29 patients and 17 died. More pronounced platelet activation was associated with an improved prognosis, even after adjusting for systemic inflammation, HVPG, and disease severity. Specifically, higher PAR-4-inducible platelet activation was independently linked to a lower decompensation risk [adjusted HR per 100 MFI (median fluorescence intensity): 0.95 (95% CI: 0.90-0.99); p =0.036] and higher PAR-1-inducible platelet activation was independently linked to longer survival [adjusted HR per 100 MFI: 0.93 (95% CI: 0.87-0.99); p =0.040]. Thromboembolic events occurred in eight patients (75% nontumoral portal vein thrombosis [PVT]). Higher epinephrine-inducible platelet activation was associated with an increased risk of thrombosis [HR per 10 MFI: 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02-1.12); p =0.007] and PVT [HR per 10 MFI: 1.08 (95% CI: 1.02-1.14); p =0.004]. In contrast, of the 11 major bleedings that occurred, 9 were portal hypertension related, and HVPG thus emerged as the primary risk factor. CONCLUSIONS: Preserved PAR-1- and PAR-4-inducible platelet activation was linked to a lower risk of decompensation and death. In contrast, higher epinephrine-inducible platelet activation was a risk factor for thromboembolism and PVT.

Efficacy and safety of atezolizumab/bevacizumab in patients with HCC after prior systemic therapy: A global, observational study.

BACKGROUND: Since the introduction of the combination treatment of anti-programmed death-ligand 1 antibody atezolizumab and anti-VEGF antibody bevacizumab (AB), median overall survival in HCC has drastically improved. However, evidence on the efficacy and safety of the novel treatment standard in patients with prior exposure to systemic treatment is scarce. The aim of this global, multicenter, observational study was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of AB in patients after previous systemic therapy. METHODS: We screened our global, multicenter, prospectively maintained registry database for patients who received any systemic therapy before AB. The primary end point was overall survival; secondary end points were time-to-progression, progression-free survival, objective response rate, and safety (rate and severity of adverse events). RESULTS: Among 493 patients who received AB for unresectable HCC, 61 patients received prior systemic therapy and were included in this analysis. The median age of the study population was 66 years, with 91.8% males. Predominant risk factors for HCC were viral hepatitis (59%) and alcohol (23%). Overall survival for AB was 16.2 (95% CI, 14.5-17.9) months, time-to-progression and progression-free survival were 4.1 (95% CI, 1.5-6.6) and 3.1 (95% CI, 1.1-5.1) months, respectively. The objective response rate was 38.2% (7.3% with complete and 30.9% with partial response). Overall survival was not influenced by treatment line (2nd vs. >2nd) or previous systemic treatment modality (tyrosine kinase inhibitors vs. immune checkpoint inhibitors). Treatment-related adverse events of all grades according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events were documented in 42.6% of patients, with only 13.1% of grade ≥3, including one death. CONCLUSION: In this observational study, AB emerges as a safe and efficacious treatment option in patients with HCC previously treated with other systemic therapy.

Insulin resistance and central obesity determine hepatic steatosis and explain cardiovascular risk in steatotic liver disease.

Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) has recently been proposed to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and focus on patients with progressive disease due to the presence of metabolic dysfunction. However, it is unclear whether the new definition actually identifies patients with hepatic steatosis at increased cardiovascular risk. Methods: A total of 4,286 asymptomatic subjects from the SAKKOPI study aged 45-80 years undergoing screening colonoscopy were analyzed. Steatosis was diagnosed by abdominal ultrasound. MASLD was diagnosed according to the recent expert consensus. Insulin resistance was assessed by homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance score (HOMA-IR) (cutoff: ≥2.5), subclinical inflammation was estimated by ferritin/CRP/uric acid, and cardiovascular risk was assessed using SCORE2/ASCVD. Results: Mean age was 59.4 ± 8.5 years, 51.6% were male; mean BMI was 27.0 ± 4.5 kg/m², 9.2% had type 2 diabetes mellitus. In total, 1,903 (44.4%) were diagnosed with hepatic steatosis and were characterized by more severe metabolic dysfunction including insulin resistance (47.1% vs. 12.2%, p < 0.001) and central obesity (waist circumference ≥102/88 cm, 71.8% vs. 37.1%, p < 0.001). This translated into higher (subclinical) inflammation (ferritin 153 vs. 95 mg/dL, p < 0.001, uric acid 6.3 mg/dL vs. 5.2 mg/dL, p < 0.001) and 10-year cardiovascular risk (SCORE2 7.8 points vs. 5.1 points, p < 0.001, ASCVD 17.9 points vs. 10.8 points, p < 0.001). 99.0% of subjects with steatosis met the MASLD definition, 95.4% met the MAFLD definition, and 53.6% met the definition of metabolic syndrome, while 95.4% of subjects without steatosis also met the MASLD criteria for metabolic dysfunction compared to 69.0% and 17.4% who met the MAFLD and metabolic syndrome criteria, respectively. Forward stepwise regression indicated that waist circumference, HOMA-IR, and triglycerides were most relevant in explaining the presence of hepatic steatosis across all subgroups of increasing metabolic dysfunction. At the same time, hepatic steatosis was not associated with cardiovascular risk in the overall cohort (SCORE2: B = 0.060, 95% CI: -0.193-0.314, and p = 0.642) and in patients with metabolic dysfunction after adjusting for age, sex, and these three metabolic dysfunction components. Conclusion: Although hepatic steatosis is associated with increased central obesity and insulin resistance, metabolic dysfunction per se rather than hepatic steatosis explains cardiovascular risk in these patients.

Transversal psoas muscle thickness measurement is associated with response and survival in patients with HCC undergoing immunotherapy.

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia is a common problem in patients with HCC. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of baseline transversal psoas muscle thickness (TPMT) measurement in patients with HCC undergoing immunotherapy. METHODS: HCC patients treated with programmed death ligand 1-based therapies between June 2016 and October 2022 at the Vienna General Hospital (n = 80) and the Hôpital Beaujon Clichy (n = 96) were included and followed until April 2023. TPMT at the level of the third lumbar vertebra was measured independently by 2 radiologists to evaluate interreader reliability. TPMT <12 mm/m in men and <8 mm/m in women indicated sarcopenia. RESULTS: Overall, 176 patients (age: 66.3±11.7 y; male: n=143, 81%, Barcelona-Clinic Liver Cancer C: n=121, 69%) were included, of which 131 (74%) exhibited cirrhosis. Interreader agreement for the diagnosis of sarcopenia based on TPMT was 92.6%, and Cohen κ showed a "strong agreement" [κ = 0.84 (95% CI: 0.75-0.92)]. Sarcopenia, present in 58 patients (33%), was associated with shorter median overall survival [7.2 (95% CI: 5.0-9.5) vs. 22.6 (95% CI: 16.4-28.8 months); p < 0.001] and median progression-free survival [3.4 (95% CI: 0.2-6.8) vs. 7.9 (95% CI: 5.8-9.9 months), p = 0.001], and an independent predictor of overall [adjusted HR: 1.63 (95% CI: 1.07-2.48)] and progression-free mortality [adjusted HR: 1.54 (95% CI: 1.06-2.23)] in multivariable analyses. The objective response rate [evaluable in 162 subjects (92.0%)] per modified Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors (mRECIST) in patients with and without sarcopenia was 22% and 39%, respectively (p = 0.029). Survival and radiological responses were worse in patients with sarcopenia and systemic inflammation [median overall survival: 6.1 (95% CI: 3.6-8.6) mo; median progression-free survival: 2.8 (95% CI: 2.1-3.4) mo; objective response rate=16%; disease control rate=39%]. CONCLUSIONS: Evaluation of sarcopenia using TPMT measurement is reliable and identifies HCC patients with a dismal prognosis and response to immunotherapy.

Synergism of the receptor tyrosine kinase Axl with ErbB receptors mediates resistance to regorafenib in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients at advanced stages receive immunotherapy or treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) such as Sorafenib (Sora) or Lenvatinib in frontline as well as Regorafenib (Rego) or Cabozantinib in second-line. A major hindrance of TKI therapies is the development of resistance, which renders drug treatment futile and results in HCC progression. Methods: In this study, we addressed the impact of the receptor tyrosine kinase Axl binding to its ligand Gas6 in acquiring refractoriness to TKIs. The initial responses of Axl-positive and Axl-negative cell lines to different TKIs were assessed. Upon inducing resistance, RNA-Seq, gain- and loss-of-function studies were applied to understand and intervene with the molecular basis of refractoriness. Secretome analysis was performed to identify potential biomarkers of resistance. Results: We show that HCC cells exhibiting a mesenchymal-like phenotype were less sensitive to drug treatment, linking TKI resistance to changes in epithelial plasticity. Gas6/Axl expression and activation were upregulated in Rego-resistant HCC cells together with the induction of ErbB receptors, whereas HCC cells lacking Axl failed to stimulate ErbBs. Treatment of Rego-insensitive HCC cells with the pan-ErbB family inhibitor Afatinib rather than with Erlotinib blocking ErbB1 reduced cell viability and clonogenicity. Genetic intervention with ErbB2-4 but not ErbB1 confirmed their crucial involvement in refractoriness to Rego. Furthermore, Rego-resistant HCC cells secreted basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF) depending on Axl expression. HCC patients treated with Sora in first-line and with Rego in second-line displayed elevated serum levels of bFGF, emphasizing bFGF as a predictive biomarker of TKI treatment. Discussion: Together, these data suggest that the inhibition of ErbBs is synthetic lethal with Rego in Axl-expressing HCC cells, showing a novel vulnerability of HCC.

ELIMINATE: a PCR record-based macroelimination project for systematic recall of HCV-RNA-positive persons in Austria.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Micro-elimination projects targeted to specific hepatitis C virus (HCV) risk populations have been successful. Systematic identification of persons with HCV viremia, regardless of risk group, based on already available laboratory records may represent an effective macroelimination approach to achieve global HCV elimination. METHODS: Persons with a last positive HCV-RNA PCR result between 2008-2020 in the reference virology laboratories in eastern Austria were identified. First, (i) we described their demographic characteristics, (ii) we systematically recalled persons to the respective centers and (iii) started antiviral treatment if HCV-RNA viremia was confirmed, and (iv) recorded sustained virologic response (SVR). This interim report includes the preliminary results from 8 participating centers. RESULTS: During the study period 22,682 persons underwent HCV-RNA PCR testing, 11,216 (49.4%) were positive at any point in time, and 6006 (26.5%) showed detectable HCV-RNA at the last PCR test, suggesting ongoing HCV viremia. At the time of this interim report, 2546/6006 HCV-RNA PCR(+) persons were evaluated: 443/2546 (17.4%) had died, 852/2546 (33.5%) had invalid contact data, and 547/2546 (21.5%) had achieved SVR between data retrieval and recall. Contact could be established in 236/704 (33.5%) of the remaining target population with 97/236 (41.1%) presenting at the clinic for treatment evaluation. Ultimately, 71/236 (30.1%) started antiviral treatment and SVR was documented in 47/71 (66.2%). CONCLUSION: This ELIMINATE project based on systematic assessment of HCV-RNA PCR-records, identified 6006 persons with potential persisting HCV viremia. Invalid contact data and missed visits for treatment evaluation were the main barriers towards HCV elimination within this project. Importantly, many subjects with HCV viremia lost to follow-up were successfully linked to care and started antiviral treatment.

Dynamics in Liver Stiffness Measurements Predict Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease. METHODS: Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected. RESULTS: There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2-4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41-1.79; P < .001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.68; P < .001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07-0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD. CONCLUSIONS: Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD.

An impaired pituitary-adrenal signalling axis in stable cirrhosis is linked to worse prognosis.

Background & Aims: Inadequate adrenal function has been described in patients with cirrhosis. We investigated (i) the pituitary-adrenal axis at different clinical stages and (ii) the clinical impact of decreased serum cortisol levels in stable patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Methods: We included 137 outpatients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement in the prospective VICIS study (NCT03267615). Patients were stratified into six clinical stages: S0: subclinical portal hypertension (PH) (HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1: clinically significant PH (HVPG ≥10 mmHg) without varices, S2: presence of varices, S3: previous variceal bleeding, S4: previous non-bleeding decompensation, and S5: further decompensation. Results: Fifty-one patients had compensated ACLD (S0: n = 13; S1: n = 12; S2: n = 26), whereas 86 patients had decompensated ACLD (S3: n = 7; S4: n = 46; S5: n = 33). Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) showed a strong correlation with estimated serum free cortisol (f-Cort; Spearman's ρ: 0.889). With progressive clinical stage, median ACTH levels (from S0: 44.0 pg/ml to S5: 20.0 pg/ml; p = 0.006), t-Cort (from S0: 13.9 µg/dl to S5: 9.2 µg/dl; p = 0.091), and cortisol binding globulin (from S0: 49.3 µg/ml to S5: 38.9 µg/ml; p <0.001) decreased, whereas f-Cort (p = 0.474) remained unchanged. Lower t-Cort levels independently predicted bacterial infections (asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), further decompensation (asHR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.12; p = 0.008), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; asHR: 1.11; 95% CI: 1.04-1.19; p = 0.002), and liver-related death (asHR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.01-1.18; p = 0.045). Conclusions: The pituitary-ACTH-adrenal-cortisol axis is progressively suppressed with increasing severity of cirrhosis. Lower t-Cort is an independent risk factor for bacterial infections, further decompensation of ACLF, and liver-related mortality-even in stable outpatients with cirrhosis. Clinical trial number: Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS; NCT: NCT03267615). Impact and Implications: In a cohort of stable outpatients, we observed progressive suppression of the pituitary-adrenal axis with increasing clinical stage of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Increased levels of bile acids and systemic inflammation (assessed by interleukin-6 levels) could be involved in this suppression. Serum total cortisol (t-Cort) was strongly correlated with serum free cortisol (f-Cort) and lower t-Cort levels were independently associated with a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, including bacterial infections, further decompensation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death.